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Epidemic Models by Geographic Location

Overview/Interpretation

  • Dots: New and cumulative COVID infections and mortality

  • Lines: 14-day ahead predictions (color coded)

  • ​Signals: Data consistently above (below) lines indicate increases (decreases) 

Methodology

  • Fits optimized epidemic growth curves on rolling daily basis

  • Computes 14-day ahead expected value (and intervals, not shown)

  • ​Flags data outside statistical intervals

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  • Click here for additional countries and regions
     

  • Click here for countries and regions with recent significant changes in infection or death counts

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