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Epidemic Models by Geographic Location


  • Dots: New and cumulative COVID infections and mortality

  • Lines: 14-day ahead predictions (color coded)

  • Signals: Data consistently above (below) lines indicate increases (decreases) 


  • Fits optimized epidemic growth curves on rolling daily basis

  • Computes 14-day ahead expected value (and intervals, not shown)

  • ​Flags data outside statistical intervals

  • W

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  • Click here for additional countries and regions

  • Click here for countries and regions with recent significant changes in infection or death counts

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